📰 IRAN CRISIS BRIEFING — 03:00 CET
2 sources | Day 10 — early morning
No strategic change this cycle (30 min). Two items with real delta.
📌 THREAD: Accountability — Minab Girls' School Strike
Status: EVOLVING
[~01:44 UTC] NYT — Video shows US Tomahawk hits naval base adjacent to the school [link]
Delta: The NYT obtained and analyzed video showing a US Tomahawk missile striking an IRGC naval base immediately adjacent to the Minab elementary girls' school (153–168 girls killed, March 1). First direct visual evidence of the proximity between the military target and the civilian structure — reinforces the hypothesis of US responsibility already deemed "probable" by American investigators.
Context: Pentagon and Hegseth had said "under investigation," refusing attribution; last week US sources already believed US responsibility was "probable"; the White House published a video titled "American Justice" in the following days.
📌 THREAD: Naval Front — Indian Ocean
Status: EVOLVING
[Mar 8] Iranian Army (Guardian) — IRIS Dena: updated toll 104 killed, 32 wounded [link]
Delta: First updated official statement from the Iranian military on the first frigate torpedoed: from "101 missing + 32 critical" (initial toll) to 104 confirmed dead and 32 wounded. Closes the period of fluid numbers on the first warship sunk.
Context: The torpedo strike was confirmed by Hegseth as the first offensive combat use of a torpedo by the US Navy since 1945.